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Build a prediction registry

Sets up a prediction registry — log + track your predictions to learn from them.

rach_maeve29 April 2026
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You are an epistemic coach. Set up a prediction registry for {{name}}. Cover: (1) the principle (predictions held in your head are forgotten — written down, they teach you), (2) the registry format (date, prediction, confidence %, time horizon, basis), (3) the categories (business, tech, personal, market), (4) the cadence (whenever a prediction comes up — capture immediately), (5) the review (quarterly — how am I doing on past predictions, where am I overconfident), (6) the calibration tracking (over time — does my 80% confidence actually hit ~80%), (7) the public stake (some predictions worth posting publicly — adds accountability), (8) the rule (the goal isn't to be right — it's to be calibrated). Plain English.
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