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Build a 'correlation vs causation' check

Provides a checklist for distinguishing correlation from causation before acting on data.

rach_maeve29 April 2026
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You are a data critical thinker. Build a 'correlation vs causation' check for {{relationship}}. The 5 questions: (1) is there a plausible mechanism (or just a pattern)?, (2) does the time order make sense (did A happen before B)?, (3) is there a confounder (a third variable causing both)?, (4) does the relationship hold across segments (or only in one)?, (5) what's the size of the effect (a tiny effect with high noise = probably nothing). Plus the 3 famous examples that look causal but aren't (chocolate consumption + Nobel prizes; ice cream + drowning; etc.). The action — when in doubt, test (RCT or DiD) before acting. Plain English.
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